区域经济发展与能源消费间关系研究

西安科技大学 管理学院,陕西 西安 710054

能源资源禀赋; 能源消费; 经济发展; 面板协整

Relationship between China's regional economic development and energy consumption
SHANG Mei,LI Qiang

(College of Management,Xi'an University of Science and Technology,Xi'an 710054,China)

energy resource endowments; energy consumption; economic development; panel co-integration

DOI: 10.13800/j.cnki.xakjdxxb.2015.0619

备注

我国幅员辽阔,区域能源资源禀赋差异显著,明确不同能源资源禀赋区能源消费与经济发展间的因果关系对保障经济持续发展至关重要。首先依据一次能源生产与消费比将全国省份聚类为资源富有型、资源自给型及资源匮乏型地区; 其次构建经济发展与诸主要影响因素间的面板数据模型,通过协整分析,发现不同能源资源禀赋区能源消费与经济发展诸影响因素间存在不同的协整关系; 通过因果关系分析,发现在能源资源富有型地区,能源消费与经济发展互为格兰杰因; 在能源资源自给型和匮乏型地区,存在经济发展到能源消费的单向格兰杰因; 最后根据实证结果,针对不同能源资源禀赋区特征,提出了保障经济发展,同时节能减排的政策建议。

In vast China,relationship between energy consumption and economic development is crucial to draw up policies for guaranteening economic development.First,classified different provinces into regions named as rich energy resource endowments regions,self-sufficient energy resource endowments regions and deficient energy resource endowments regions according to ratio of energy production and energy consumption; then,panel data model between economic development and energy consumption is established.Through co-integration analysis,it is found that different co-integration relationship existed in different energy resource endowments regions.Through grand causality analysis,it is found that in rich energy resource endowments regions,mutual grand causality existed between energy consumption and economic development,and in self-sufficient and deficient energy resource endowments regions economic development is grand causality to energy consumption; at last,proposals to guarantee economic development and conserve energy is put forward according to the empirical results.